Dynamic Baselines That Reflect Real-World Decisions

Baselines are the invisible foundation of the VCM. They define “what would have happened anyway,” and set how many credits a project can issue. Here’s how Sky Harvest makes this process accurate and transparent with real-time, dynamic baselining.  

The Status Quo: Static Baselines  

Most nature-based credits still use static, historical baselines—assumptions frozen in time that drift as markets and land conditions change. In practice, this creates distortions and fuels over-crediting claims.  

Newer “dynamic” methods help, but many compare project lands to “similar properties” and use their average carbon stock as the baseline. Statistically, any given area has ~50% odds of beating an average—even without a project. Developers can select areas that outpace the baseline, introducing selection bias and more over-crediting.  

The result: a system easy to game, with credits that don’t always reflect reality.  

Sky Harvest: Dynamic Baselining  

We embrace dynamic baselining, but go deeper. Sky Harvest models decisions at the level landowners actually make them: each stand of timber. We integrate real-time variables—timber prices, stand maturity, market access, distance to mill, and dozens more—to reflect the true economic alternative a landowner faces.  

By anchoring baselines in real, current trade-offs, we eliminate guesswork and shrink room for gaming. The outcome is more accurate issuances—and a new standard for transparency, fairness, and trust.  

We’re not here just to perform in today’s market. We’re here to ensure tomorrow’s market works for everyone—buyers, landowners, and the climate. 

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Whether you’re ready to purchase True Credits or just have a question, we’d love to hear from you.

General Inquiries

Email: info@skyharvest.com

Phone: +1 (919) 306-1883